Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS consensus indicate a mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow moderating temperatures, positioning the daily maximum in Moscow near 18°C on September 19. Multiple sources project afternoon highs of 17–19°C under stable pressure around 1019–1020 hPa and limited diurnal range due to cloud cover, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward 18°C (45.5%) and 17°C (28.5%). Minor model spread and typical observational uncertainty of ±1°C explain the secondary probability on 19°C, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and absence of frontal systems. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 19 de setembro?
18°C 46%
17°C 32%
19°C 12%
16°C 7.1%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
32%
18°C
46%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 46%
17°C 32%
19°C 12%
16°C 7.1%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$169 Vol.
7%
17°C
$1,744 Vol.
32%
18°C
$1,100 Vol.
46%
19°C
$967 Vol.
12%
20°C
$459 Vol.
4%
21°C
$411 Vol.
3%
22°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
23°C ou mais
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS consensus indicate a mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow moderating temperatures, positioning the daily maximum in Moscow near 18°C on September 19. Multiple sources project afternoon highs of 17–19°C under stable pressure around 1019–1020 hPa and limited diurnal range due to cloud cover, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward 18°C (45.5%) and 17°C (28.5%). Minor model spread and typical observational uncertainty of ±1°C explain the secondary probability on 19°C, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and absence of frontal systems. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final resolution criteria based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,472Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS consensus indicate a mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow moderating temperatures, positioning the daily maximum in Moscow near 18°C on September 19. Multiple sources project afternoon highs of 17–19°C under stable pressure around 1019–1020 hPa and limited diurnal range due to cloud cover, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward 18°C (45.5%) and 17°C (28.5%). Minor model spread and typical observational uncertainty of ±1°C explain the secondary probability on 19°C, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and absence of frontal systems. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final resolution criteria based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,472Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS consensus indicate a mostly cloudy day with southwesterly flow moderating temperatures, positioning the daily maximum in Moscow near 18°C on September 19. Multiple sources project afternoon highs of 17–19°C under stable pressure around 1019–1020 hPa and limited diurnal range due to cloud cover, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward 18°C (45.5%) and 17°C (28.5%). Minor model spread and typical observational uncertainty of ±1°C explain the secondary probability on 19°C, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and absence of frontal systems. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions