**Cold southerly winds advecting cooler air into the region are driving the expected minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, into the mid-single digits Celsius, creating tight market probabilities across the 4–8°C range.** Daytime readings have hovered near 9–10°C under overcast skies with light drizzle possible, while southeasterly winds of 10–20 mph (roughly 15–30 km/h) enhance cooling. Official guidance and model consensus point to an overnight low between roughly 4°C and 9°C, depending on the exact timing of clearing and wind strength; some runs show the minimum occurring late on the 12th near 4–5°C, while others keep readings closer to 7–8°C. Historical September minima in the city average around 8–11°C, so this event reflects a notable but not extreme cold surge. Traders are weighting the latest SMN and global model updates, with resolution likely tied to official station observations for the 24-hour period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 12 de setembro?
4°C ou menos 100%
5°C 99%
8°C 55%
6°C 51%
$584 Vol.
$584 Vol.
4°C ou menos
100%
5°C
99%
6°C
51%
7°C
50%
8°C
55%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C ou mais
<1%
4°C ou menos 100%
5°C 99%
8°C 55%
6°C 51%
$584 Vol.
$584 Vol.
4°C ou menos
100%
5°C
99%
6°C
51%
7°C
50%
8°C
55%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cold southerly winds advecting cooler air into the region are driving the expected minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, into the mid-single digits Celsius, creating tight market probabilities across the 4–8°C range.** Daytime readings have hovered near 9–10°C under overcast skies with light drizzle possible, while southeasterly winds of 10–20 mph (roughly 15–30 km/h) enhance cooling. Official guidance and model consensus point to an overnight low between roughly 4°C and 9°C, depending on the exact timing of clearing and wind strength; some runs show the minimum occurring late on the 12th near 4–5°C, while others keep readings closer to 7–8°C. Historical September minima in the city average around 8–11°C, so this event reflects a notable but not extreme cold surge. Traders are weighting the latest SMN and global model updates, with resolution likely tied to official station observations for the 24-hour period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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