Recent model consensus from GFS and related guidance positions 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s maximum temperature on September 12, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming above the seasonal average of 22°C. Current short-range forecasts cluster afternoon peaks near 24–26°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress heating. Traders have aligned implied probabilities accordingly, with lower odds on 24°C or 27°C+ reflecting remaining uncertainty in final model runs and potential minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture. Updated ECMWF and Météo-France guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 12 de setembro?
25°C 53%
26°C 31%
24°C 12%
27°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
20°C ou menos
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
53%
26°C
31%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C ou mais
3%
25°C 53%
26°C 31%
24°C 12%
27°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$13 Vol.
4%
24°C
$18 Vol.
12%
25°C
$736 Vol.
53%
26°C
$15 Vol.
31%
27°C
$37 Vol.
6%
28°C
$75 Vol.
3%
29°C
$90 Vol.
2%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and related guidance positions 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s maximum temperature on September 12, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming above the seasonal average of 22°C. Current short-range forecasts cluster afternoon peaks near 24–26°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress heating. Traders have aligned implied probabilities accordingly, with lower odds on 24°C or 27°C+ reflecting remaining uncertainty in final model runs and potential minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture. Updated ECMWF and Météo-France guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$983Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and related guidance positions 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s maximum temperature on September 12, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming above the seasonal average of 22°C. Current short-range forecasts cluster afternoon peaks near 24–26°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress heating. Traders have aligned implied probabilities accordingly, with lower odds on 24°C or 27°C+ reflecting remaining uncertainty in final model runs and potential minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture. Updated ECMWF and Météo-France guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$983Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and related guidance positions 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s maximum temperature on September 12, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming above the seasonal average of 22°C. Current short-range forecasts cluster afternoon peaks near 24–26°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress heating. Traders have aligned implied probabilities accordingly, with lower odds on 24°C or 27°C+ reflecting remaining uncertainty in final model runs and potential minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture. Updated ECMWF and Météo-France guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions