**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C minimum in Busan on September 15, 2026, at 97% implied probability, consistent with official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models showing an overnight low near 21–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions.** Persistent northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical early-autumn radiational cooling moderated by the coastal location support this outcome, aligning with recent observations of afternoon highs around 26–28°C and dew points near 17–19°C. The strong market positioning reflects broad agreement across GFS and regional models with minimal expected deviation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or a transient warm advection event that limits overnight cooling below 20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Busan em 15 de setembro?
20°C 97%
17°C 2%
18°C 1.9%
19°C 2%
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 97%
17°C 2%
18°C 1.9%
19°C 2%
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C minimum in Busan on September 15, 2026, at 97% implied probability, consistent with official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models showing an overnight low near 21–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions.** Persistent northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical early-autumn radiational cooling moderated by the coastal location support this outcome, aligning with recent observations of afternoon highs around 26–28°C and dew points near 17–19°C. The strong market positioning reflects broad agreement across GFS and regional models with minimal expected deviation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or a transient warm advection event that limits overnight cooling below 20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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