**Current meteorological forecasts for Singapore on September 15 indicate an overnight low near 27°C, driving the overwhelming 97% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Singapore’s equatorial location produces minimal day-to-day temperature variability, with September mean daily minima historically averaging 25.2°C at the Changi climate station (1991–2020 normals). Official agency model consensus and recent observations align with this narrow range, reflecting typical monsoon-transition conditions without strong cooling influences. While forecast uncertainty exists—particularly from localized convection or minor steering-pattern shifts—historical extremes below 23°C in September remain rare and would require atypical atmospheric setup. Traders are effectively pricing the high reliability of near-term guidance from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Singapura a 15 de setembro?
27°C 97%
22°C ou menos 4%
25°C 4%
26°C 3%
22°C ou menos
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 97%
22°C ou menos 4%
25°C 4%
26°C 3%
22°C ou menos
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current meteorological forecasts for Singapore on September 15 indicate an overnight low near 27°C, driving the overwhelming 97% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Singapore’s equatorial location produces minimal day-to-day temperature variability, with September mean daily minima historically averaging 25.2°C at the Changi climate station (1991–2020 normals). Official agency model consensus and recent observations align with this narrow range, reflecting typical monsoon-transition conditions without strong cooling influences. While forecast uncertainty exists—particularly from localized convection or minor steering-pattern shifts—historical extremes below 23°C in September remain rare and would require atypical atmospheric setup. Traders are effectively pricing the high reliability of near-term guidance from agencies like the Meteorological Service Singapore.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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