**Recent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Qingdao near 31°C on September 15 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels.** This outcome aligns with late-summer patterns where coastal influences from the Yellow Sea moderate extremes while allowing afternoon peaks in the upper range of September climatology (typical highs 25–28°C). Current model consensus and hourly data showing temperatures climbing toward 30–31°C during peak heating hours underpin the strong 89% implied probability for exactly 31°C. The modest 10.5% chance assigned to 32°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in precise peak timing, localized urban heat effects, and minor forecast adjustments from agencies monitoring the region. Lower outcomes carry negligible probability given the absence of cooling fronts or significant cloud cover.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 15 de setembro?
31°C 80%
32°C ou mais 13%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
NOVO
$21,691 Vol.
NOVO
$21,691 Vol.
15 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
80%
32°C ou mais
20%
31°C 80%
32°C ou mais 13%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
NOVO
$21,691 Vol.
NOVO
$21,691 Vol.
15 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$98 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,624 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,990 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,723 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,847 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,109 Vol.
80%
32°C ou mais
$3,647 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Qingdao near 31°C on September 15 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels.**
This outcome aligns with late-summer patterns where coastal influences from the Yellow Sea moderate extremes while allowing afternoon peaks in the upper range of September climatology (typical highs 25–28°C). Current model consensus and hourly data showing temperatures climbing toward 30–31°C during peak heating hours underpin the strong 89% implied probability for exactly 31°C. The modest 10.5% chance assigned to 32°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in precise peak timing, localized urban heat effects, and minor forecast adjustments from agencies monitoring the region. Lower outcomes carry negligible probability given the absence of cooling fronts or significant cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,691Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Qingdao near 31°C on September 15 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels.**
This outcome aligns with late-summer patterns where coastal influences from the Yellow Sea moderate extremes while allowing afternoon peaks in the upper range of September climatology (typical highs 25–28°C). Current model consensus and hourly data showing temperatures climbing toward 30–31°C during peak heating hours underpin the strong 89% implied probability for exactly 31°C. The modest 10.5% chance assigned to 32°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in precise peak timing, localized urban heat effects, and minor forecast adjustments from agencies monitoring the region. Lower outcomes carry negligible probability given the absence of cooling fronts or significant cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,691Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Qingdao near 31°C on September 15 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels.** This outcome aligns with late-summer patterns where coastal influences from the Yellow Sea moderate extremes while allowing afternoon peaks in the upper range of September climatology (typical highs 25–28°C). Current model consensus and hourly data showing temperatures climbing toward 30–31°C during peak heating hours underpin the strong 89% implied probability for exactly 31°C. The modest 10.5% chance assigned to 32°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in precise peak timing, localized urban heat effects, and minor forecast adjustments from agencies monitoring the region. Lower outcomes carry negligible probability given the absence of cooling fronts or significant cloud cover.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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