Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Met Office and local New Zealand guidance, positions a high of 15–16°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions reflect typical early-spring patterns, with daytime maxima a few degrees above the historical September average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C at 54% implied probability versus 15°C at 36.5% tracks the narrow range of current ensemble runs, which show limited variability in maximum temperatures ahead of the final 48-hour updates. Resolution hinges on the official daily high recorded at the Wellington observing site.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 14 de setembro?
16°C 54%
15°C 38%
17°C 8%
14°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
9°C ou menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
38%
16°C
54%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 54%
15°C 38%
17°C 8%
14°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
9°C ou menos
$550 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$179 Vol.
1%
14°C
$373 Vol.
5%
15°C
$844 Vol.
38%
16°C
$2,371 Vol.
54%
17°C
$445 Vol.
8%
18°C
$160 Vol.
1%
19°C ou mais
$76 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Met Office and local New Zealand guidance, positions a high of 15–16°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions reflect typical early-spring patterns, with daytime maxima a few degrees above the historical September average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C at 54% implied probability versus 15°C at 36.5% tracks the narrow range of current ensemble runs, which show limited variability in maximum temperatures ahead of the final 48-hour updates. Resolution hinges on the official daily high recorded at the Wellington observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,610Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Met Office and local New Zealand guidance, positions a high of 15–16°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions reflect typical early-spring patterns, with daytime maxima a few degrees above the historical September average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C at 54% implied probability versus 15°C at 36.5% tracks the narrow range of current ensemble runs, which show limited variability in maximum temperatures ahead of the final 48-hour updates. Resolution hinges on the official daily high recorded at the Wellington observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,610Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Met Office and local New Zealand guidance, positions a high of 15–16°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions reflect typical early-spring patterns, with daytime maxima a few degrees above the historical September average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C at 54% implied probability versus 15°C at 36.5% tracks the narrow range of current ensemble runs, which show limited variability in maximum temperatures ahead of the final 48-hour updates. Resolution hinges on the official daily high recorded at the Wellington observing site.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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