Recent forecasts for Moscow on September 16 show daytime maxima clustered near 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market odds around those outcomes. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and northwesterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge, which limits daytime heating while allowing clear nocturnal cooling to the 7–10 °C range. Historical climatology places the long-term average high at 16.2 °C, so current conditions represent near-normal late-summer advection without strong warm or cold anomalies. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of any residual cloudiness or wind shifts continue to differentiate the 16 °C, 17 °C, and 18 °C bins, with next 24–48 hour runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF expected to narrow the range further before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 16 de setembro?
18°C 29%
17°C 25%
20°C 19%
16°C 16%
12°C ou menos
5%
13°C
4%
14°C
14%
15°C
9%
16°C
16%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
16%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C ou mais
6%
18°C 29%
17°C 25%
20°C 19%
16°C 16%
12°C ou menos
5%
13°C
4%
14°C
14%
15°C
9%
16°C
16%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
16%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C ou mais
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow on September 16 show daytime maxima clustered near 16–18 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market odds around those outcomes. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and northwesterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge, which limits daytime heating while allowing clear nocturnal cooling to the 7–10 °C range. Historical climatology places the long-term average high at 16.2 °C, so current conditions represent near-normal late-summer advection without strong warm or cold anomalies. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of any residual cloudiness or wind shifts continue to differentiate the 16 °C, 17 °C, and 18 °C bins, with next 24–48 hour runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF expected to narrow the range further before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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