Recent short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models show Istanbul's June 27 daytime maximum centering near 27–28 °C, with the market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid modest model spread. Marine influences from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas typically moderate peaks, while variable cloud cover, wind direction, and any late-day sea-breeze timing create the narrow uncertainty band between 27 °C and 28 °C. Broader June warming across western Turkey supports the slight edge for 28 °C, though no major synoptic shift has emerged in the past 48 hours to push consensus higher or lower. Updated official guidance and final model runs before resolution will determine the precise outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul em 27 de junho?
28°C 51%
27°C 26%
29°C 22%
30°C 1.8%
$20,405 Vol.
$20,405 Vol.
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
26%
28°C
51%
29°C
22%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 26%
29°C 22%
30°C 1.8%
$20,405 Vol.
$20,405 Vol.
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
26%
28°C
51%
29°C
22%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models show Istanbul's June 27 daytime maximum centering near 27–28 °C, with the market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid modest model spread. Marine influences from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas typically moderate peaks, while variable cloud cover, wind direction, and any late-day sea-breeze timing create the narrow uncertainty band between 27 °C and 28 °C. Broader June warming across western Turkey supports the slight edge for 28 °C, though no major synoptic shift has emerged in the past 48 hours to push consensus higher or lower. Updated official guidance and final model runs before resolution will determine the precise outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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