Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a strong marine layer and persistent onshore flow suppressing daytime highs at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) to the low 70s on June 17, aligning with the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for 70-71°F. This reflects typical early-summer "June Gloom" conditions driven by cool Pacific sea-surface temperatures and a stable inversion layer that limits mixing and solar heating. Historical climatology shows June coastal maxima averaging near 77°F, yet current observational trends and ensemble guidance indicate below-normal readings. A rapid marine-layer erosion or stronger offshore wind component could allow warmer air advection and push temperatures into the mid-70s or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely within the remaining forecast window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 17 de junho?
70-71°F 97.6%
72-73°F 1.3%
65°F ou menos <1%
66-67°F <1%
$52,174 Vol.
$52,174 Vol.
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
98%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F ou mais
<1%
70-71°F 97.6%
72-73°F 1.3%
65°F ou menos <1%
66-67°F <1%
$52,174 Vol.
$52,174 Vol.
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
98%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a strong marine layer and persistent onshore flow suppressing daytime highs at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) to the low 70s on June 17, aligning with the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for 70-71°F. This reflects typical early-summer "June Gloom" conditions driven by cool Pacific sea-surface temperatures and a stable inversion layer that limits mixing and solar heating. Historical climatology shows June coastal maxima averaging near 77°F, yet current observational trends and ensemble guidance indicate below-normal readings. A rapid marine-layer erosion or stronger offshore wind component could allow warmer air advection and push temperatures into the mid-70s or higher, though such shifts remain unlikely within the remaining forecast window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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