Latest model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon convection over Shenzhen on June 18, driven by active East Asian summer monsoon moisture from the South China Sea. This setup favors daytime maxima near 28–29°C rather than the seasonal 31°C climatology, as cloud cover and brief showers reduce surface heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in convective timing or wind patterns—such as stronger southerly flow increasing humidity and instability—can tip the daily peak by 1–2°C. Forecasters will update guidance on June 17 with refined high-resolution runs, directly influencing resolution of this narrow temperature band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 18?
29°C 36%
28°C 30%
30°C 18%
27°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
36%
30°C
18%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 30%
30°C 18%
27°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
25°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$365 Vol.
4%
27°C
$513 Vol.
10%
28°C
$350 Vol.
30%
29°C
$536 Vol.
36%
30°C
$348 Vol.
18%
31°C
$334 Vol.
7%
32°C
$271 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,468 Vol.
1%
34°C
$945 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,593 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon convection over Shenzhen on June 18, driven by active East Asian summer monsoon moisture from the South China Sea. This setup favors daytime maxima near 28–29°C rather than the seasonal 31°C climatology, as cloud cover and brief showers reduce surface heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in convective timing or wind patterns—such as stronger southerly flow increasing humidity and instability—can tip the daily peak by 1–2°C. Forecasters will update guidance on June 17 with refined high-resolution runs, directly influencing resolution of this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$6,922Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon convection over Shenzhen on June 18, driven by active East Asian summer monsoon moisture from the South China Sea. This setup favors daytime maxima near 28–29°C rather than the seasonal 31°C climatology, as cloud cover and brief showers reduce surface heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in convective timing or wind patterns—such as stronger southerly flow increasing humidity and instability—can tip the daily peak by 1–2°C. Forecasters will update guidance on June 17 with refined high-resolution runs, directly influencing resolution of this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,922Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon convection over Shenzhen on June 18, driven by active East Asian summer monsoon moisture from the South China Sea. This setup favors daytime maxima near 28–29°C rather than the seasonal 31°C climatology, as cloud cover and brief showers reduce surface heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in convective timing or wind patterns—such as stronger southerly flow increasing humidity and instability—can tip the daily peak by 1–2°C. Forecasters will update guidance on June 17 with refined high-resolution runs, directly influencing resolution of this narrow temperature band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions