Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on June 16 most likely in the 22–23°C range under typical early-summer synoptic conditions, with modest variability from cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Recent runs show stable high pressure and light westerly flow limiting daytime heating near climatological norms for mid-June, while slight model spread in low-level moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage supports the close market-implied odds between 22°C and 23°C. Updated guidance expected from the German Weather Service and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 16?
22°C 30%
23°C 30%
24°C 20%
21°C 14%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
14%
22°C
30%
23°C
30%
24°C
20%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
23°C 30%
24°C 20%
21°C 14%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
14%
22°C
30%
23°C
30%
24°C
20%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on June 16 most likely in the 22–23°C range under typical early-summer synoptic conditions, with modest variability from cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Recent runs show stable high pressure and light westerly flow limiting daytime heating near climatological norms for mid-June, while slight model spread in low-level moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage supports the close market-implied odds between 22°C and 23°C. Updated guidance expected from the German Weather Service and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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