Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports a daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Milan on June 16, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar insolation with light easterly winds limiting mixing. Persistent high pressure has sustained above-average warmth across northern Italy since mid-week, with observed highs of 32–33 °C on June 13–14 providing a warm baseline. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C because ensemble spreads of 1–2 °C remain typical at 48-hour lead times; modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by a single degree, while no significant frontal cooling or convective outbreak is currently indicated before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 16?
29°C 42%
30°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jun 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
42%
30°C
32%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jun 2026
27°C or below
$37 Vol.
3%
28°C
$112 Vol.
14%
29°C
$123 Vol.
42%
30°C
$82 Vol.
32%
31°C
$25 Vol.
10%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$125 Vol.
1%
34°C
$83 Vol.
1%
35°C
$98 Vol.
1%
36°C
$15 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$147 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports a daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Milan on June 16, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar insolation with light easterly winds limiting mixing. Persistent high pressure has sustained above-average warmth across northern Italy since mid-week, with observed highs of 32–33 °C on June 13–14 providing a warm baseline. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C because ensemble spreads of 1–2 °C remain typical at 48-hour lead times; modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by a single degree, while no significant frontal cooling or convective outbreak is currently indicated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$787Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports a daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Milan on June 16, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar insolation with light easterly winds limiting mixing. Persistent high pressure has sustained above-average warmth across northern Italy since mid-week, with observed highs of 32–33 °C on June 13–14 providing a warm baseline. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C because ensemble spreads of 1–2 °C remain typical at 48-hour lead times; modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by a single degree, while no significant frontal cooling or convective outbreak is currently indicated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$787Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports a daily maximum near 29–30 °C in Milan on June 16, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar insolation with light easterly winds limiting mixing. Persistent high pressure has sustained above-average warmth across northern Italy since mid-week, with observed highs of 32–33 °C on June 13–14 providing a warm baseline. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C because ensemble spreads of 1–2 °C remain typical at 48-hour lead times; modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by a single degree, while no significant frontal cooling or convective outbreak is currently indicated before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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