Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Milan’s June 15 maximum likely settling between 30–32 °C under persistent high pressure and light westerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between 30 °C and 32 °C; official Italian meteorological service guidance and latest ECMWF runs currently favor the middle of that range. Historical June maxima average near 26–27 °C, so the current warm anomaly reflects both seasonal progression and limited synoptic cooling, keeping probabilities for 29 °C or below and 33 °C or above under 6 % each.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 15?
31°C 41%
30°C 33%
32°C 21%
29°C or below 5.0%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
29°C or below
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
41%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 33%
32°C 21%
29°C or below 5.0%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
29°C or below
$2,174 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,157 Vol.
33%
31°C
$754 Vol.
41%
32°C
$653 Vol.
21%
33°C
$467 Vol.
4%
34°C
$748 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,148 Vol.
1%
36°C
$689 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$830 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Milan’s June 15 maximum likely settling between 30–32 °C under persistent high pressure and light westerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between 30 °C and 32 °C; official Italian meteorological service guidance and latest ECMWF runs currently favor the middle of that range. Historical June maxima average near 26–27 °C, so the current warm anomaly reflects both seasonal progression and limited synoptic cooling, keeping probabilities for 29 °C or below and 33 °C or above under 6 % each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$8,355Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Milan’s June 15 maximum likely settling between 30–32 °C under persistent high pressure and light westerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between 30 °C and 32 °C; official Italian meteorological service guidance and latest ECMWF runs currently favor the middle of that range. Historical June maxima average near 26–27 °C, so the current warm anomaly reflects both seasonal progression and limited synoptic cooling, keeping probabilities for 29 °C or below and 33 °C or above under 6 % each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,355Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Milan’s June 15 maximum likely settling between 30–32 °C under persistent high pressure and light westerly flow, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between 30 °C and 32 °C; official Italian meteorological service guidance and latest ECMWF runs currently favor the middle of that range. Historical June maxima average near 26–27 °C, so the current warm anomaly reflects both seasonal progression and limited synoptic cooling, keeping probabilities for 29 °C or below and 33 °C or above under 6 % each.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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