**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 16 centers on 72–73°F (40.5% implied probability) due to the dominant influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific.** This setup, common in Southern California during mid-June, brings cooler, moist air that caps daytime highs along the coast while allowing modest warming under partial clearing. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show highs near 68–75°F at coastal and airport stations, aligning with the market's concentration around the low-to-mid 70s. Recent observations confirm stable sea surface temperatures and weak pressure gradients favoring the marine layer rather than rapid inland heating. Traders weigh the risk of slight model shifts toward more sun and 76–80°F readings against the historical tendency for June "gloom" to suppress peaks below long-term averages of 75–78°F. Resolution hinges on official NWS or airport readings, with new model runs and morning observations likely to refine odds before the day ends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 16 de junho?
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 30%
20°C-21°C 14%
74-75°F 6%
61°F ou menos
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
20°C-21°C
14%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80°F ou mais
2%
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 30%
20°C-21°C 14%
74-75°F 6%
61°F ou menos
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
20°C-21°C
14%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80°F ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 16 centers on 72–73°F (40.5% implied probability) due to the dominant influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific.** This setup, common in Southern California during mid-June, brings cooler, moist air that caps daytime highs along the coast while allowing modest warming under partial clearing. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show highs near 68–75°F at coastal and airport stations, aligning with the market's concentration around the low-to-mid 70s. Recent observations confirm stable sea surface temperatures and weak pressure gradients favoring the marine layer rather than rapid inland heating. Traders weigh the risk of slight model shifts toward more sun and 76–80°F readings against the historical tendency for June "gloom" to suppress peaks below long-term averages of 75–78°F. Resolution hinges on official NWS or airport readings, with new model runs and morning observations likely to refine odds before the day ends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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