Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on June 14, 2026, indicate a daily high in the low 70s amid cooler-than-normal conditions, directly supporting the market's leading implied probabilities on the 70-71°F (38.5%) and 72-73°F (27.5%) bins. These outcomes reflect model consensus showing limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, a passing frontal boundary, and below-average 500 mb heights that suppress typical June warmth. Historical climatology places the date's normal high near 80°F, yet current observations and ensemble guidance consistently point 8–10°F lower, narrowing uncertainty around the 68–73°F range while keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds. Traders are monitoring the final NWS update and station readings from Midway Airport for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 14 de junho?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 28%
20-21°C 25%
74-75°F 10%
$24,979 Vol.
$24,979 Vol.
59°F ou menos
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
20-21°C
25%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F ou mais
<1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 28%
20-21°C 25%
74-75°F 10%
$24,979 Vol.
$24,979 Vol.
59°F ou menos
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
20-21°C
25%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on June 14, 2026, indicate a daily high in the low 70s amid cooler-than-normal conditions, directly supporting the market's leading implied probabilities on the 70-71°F (38.5%) and 72-73°F (27.5%) bins. These outcomes reflect model consensus showing limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, a passing frontal boundary, and below-average 500 mb heights that suppress typical June warmth. Historical climatology places the date's normal high near 80°F, yet current observations and ensemble guidance consistently point 8–10°F lower, narrowing uncertainty around the 68–73°F range while keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds. Traders are monitoring the final NWS update and station readings from Midway Airport for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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