Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 15 point to heavy rain and a daytime range of 26–29°C, positioning 29°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from regional monsoon influences typically limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures below the June climatological average high near 31°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August provide some upward pressure, yet short-term model guidance favors suppressed readings amid high humidity and widespread showers. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June extremes, with implied probabilities clustering tightly around 28–30°C ahead of the official daily maximum reading from the Observatory network.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 45%
28°C 25%
30°C 19%
27°C 8%
$12,560 Vol.
$12,560 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
25%
29°C
45%
30°C
19%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 25%
30°C 19%
27°C 8%
$12,560 Vol.
$12,560 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
25%
29°C
45%
30°C
19%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 15 point to heavy rain and a daytime range of 26–29°C, positioning 29°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from regional monsoon influences typically limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures below the June climatological average high near 31°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August provide some upward pressure, yet short-term model guidance favors suppressed readings amid high humidity and widespread showers. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June extremes, with implied probabilities clustering tightly around 28–30°C ahead of the official daily maximum reading from the Observatory network.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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