The overwhelming market consensus on 30°C as Hong Kong’s maximum temperature for June 12 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory readings, which recorded a peak of 30°C at the headquarters station amid typical early-summer conditions influenced by a southwest monsoon flow. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-June, when daytime highs commonly reach 29–31°C under humid, partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating from cloud cover or showers. Recent model consensus and post-event verification data have reinforced this outcome, leaving little room for deviation. A revision in the official daily summary or an unusually strong localized heat burst at an urban station could theoretically shift the result, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
30°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,176 Vol.
$220,176 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,176 Vol.
$220,176 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on 30°C as Hong Kong’s maximum temperature for June 12 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory readings, which recorded a peak of 30°C at the headquarters station amid typical early-summer conditions influenced by a southwest monsoon flow. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-June, when daytime highs commonly reach 29–31°C under humid, partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating from cloud cover or showers. Recent model consensus and post-event verification data have reinforced this outcome, leaving little room for deviation. A revision in the official daily summary or an unusually strong localized heat burst at an urban station could theoretically shift the result, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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