Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 18?
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 21%
29°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
6%
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 21%
29°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
24°C ou menos
$148 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$371 Vol.
1%
27°C
$71 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,633 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,276 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1,192 Vol.
21%
31°C
$179 Vol.
31%
32°C
$372 Vol.
25%
33°C
$161 Vol.
8%
34°C or higher
$532 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volume
$5,965Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,965Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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