Forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high near 23–24°C in Warsaw on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with possible late showers and light westerly winds, positioning 24°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where daily maxima average around 22°C but can shift several degrees based on cloud cover, advection, and frontal timing. Recent model consensus has narrowed expectations away from extremes above 26°C or below 22°C, with traders assigning just 6.5% combined probability to those tails. Updated runs overnight and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or insolation on the morning of the 18th remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 42%
25°C 27%
23°C 18%
22°C 6.7%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
18%
24°C
42%
25°C
27%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 27%
23°C 18%
22°C 6.7%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
19°C or below
$255 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$354 Vol.
1%
22°C
$918 Vol.
7%
23°C
$1,012 Vol.
18%
24°C
$667 Vol.
42%
25°C
$619 Vol.
27%
26°C
$604 Vol.
6%
27°C
$497 Vol.
1%
28°C
$670 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$809 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high near 23–24°C in Warsaw on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with possible late showers and light westerly winds, positioning 24°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where daily maxima average around 22°C but can shift several degrees based on cloud cover, advection, and frontal timing. Recent model consensus has narrowed expectations away from extremes above 26°C or below 22°C, with traders assigning just 6.5% combined probability to those tails. Updated runs overnight and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or insolation on the morning of the 18th remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Volume
$6,606Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high near 23–24°C in Warsaw on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with possible late showers and light westerly winds, positioning 24°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where daily maxima average around 22°C but can shift several degrees based on cloud cover, advection, and frontal timing. Recent model consensus has narrowed expectations away from extremes above 26°C or below 22°C, with traders assigning just 6.5% combined probability to those tails. Updated runs overnight and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or insolation on the morning of the 18th remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,606Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high near 23–24°C in Warsaw on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with possible late showers and light westerly winds, positioning 24°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability. This aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where daily maxima average around 22°C but can shift several degrees based on cloud cover, advection, and frontal timing. Recent model consensus has narrowed expectations away from extremes above 26°C or below 22°C, with traders assigning just 6.5% combined probability to those tails. Updated runs overnight and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or insolation on the morning of the 18th remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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