Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate mostly overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms possible on June 17, keeping maximum temperatures near 29°C as marine air and cloud cover limit daytime heating during the East Asian monsoon transition. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers amid typical June humidity levels around 70–80%. Differentiation between adjacent bins hinges on subtle variations in cloud thickness, wind speed from easterly flows, and exact precipitation timing, as clearer breaks could push readings toward 30°C while heavier rain would cap them lower. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
28°C 30%
29°C 28%
30°C 12.8%
27°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
28%
30°C
13%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 30%
29°C 28%
30°C 12.8%
27°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
28%
30°C
13%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate mostly overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms possible on June 17, keeping maximum temperatures near 29°C as marine air and cloud cover limit daytime heating during the East Asian monsoon transition. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers amid typical June humidity levels around 70–80%. Differentiation between adjacent bins hinges on subtle variations in cloud thickness, wind speed from easterly flows, and exact precipitation timing, as clearer breaks could push readings toward 30°C while heavier rain would cap them lower. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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