Recent meteorological model consensus, including guidance from Chinese forecasting agencies, points to a Beijing high of 31–32°C on June 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, anchoring trader sentiment with 32°C at 34% and 31°C at 28% implied probability. Day-to-day variability in cloud thickness, any overnight showers that enhance boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in steering patterns sustain the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Historical June baselines near 30°C provide context, yet ensemble uncertainty ahead of official station verification by the China Meteorological Administration keeps lower and higher thresholds in play for active traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 17?
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
29°C 9%
28°C or below
8%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
29°C 9%
28°C or below
8%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus, including guidance from Chinese forecasting agencies, points to a Beijing high of 31–32°C on June 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, anchoring trader sentiment with 32°C at 34% and 31°C at 28% implied probability. Day-to-day variability in cloud thickness, any overnight showers that enhance boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in steering patterns sustain the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Historical June baselines near 30°C provide context, yet ensemble uncertainty ahead of official station verification by the China Meteorological Administration keeps lower and higher thresholds in play for active traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions