Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate typical mid-June conditions shaped by the East Asian monsoon onset, with frequent cloud cover and showers moderating daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus points to maximum temperatures near 26–28°C on June 17, influenced by expected precipitation that reduces insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows June highs averaging 28–31°C, yet variable steering patterns and local humidity often produce 2–4°C day-to-day swings. Trader clustering around 25–27°C reflects this forecast spread, as small shifts in rain timing or cloud thickness can differentiate outcomes more than broader seasonal trends. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 17?
26°C 22%
27°C 22%
25°C 17%
24°C or below 12%
24°C or below
12%
25°C
17%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
11%
29°C
10%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 22%
27°C 22%
25°C 17%
24°C or below 12%
24°C or below
12%
25°C
17%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
11%
29°C
10%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate typical mid-June conditions shaped by the East Asian monsoon onset, with frequent cloud cover and showers moderating daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus points to maximum temperatures near 26–28°C on June 17, influenced by expected precipitation that reduces insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows June highs averaging 28–31°C, yet variable steering patterns and local humidity often produce 2–4°C day-to-day swings. Trader clustering around 25–27°C reflects this forecast spread, as small shifts in rain timing or cloud thickness can differentiate outcomes more than broader seasonal trends. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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