Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 17, driven by climatological norms for mid-June when average daily maxima reach 34–35°C under the influence of the pre-monsoon regime. Persistent high humidity from the Arabian Sea and typical west-southwest winds limit extreme daytime heating, while recent subsidence of a regional heat wave and emerging signals of late-month moisture have tempered expectations for 36°C or higher. Global and Pakistan Meteorological Department model runs continue to show stable thermal profiles through the short-range window, with resolution hinging on any last-minute convective cooling or clear-sky reinforcement. Updated PMD guidance and 48-hour ensemble forecasts over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi em 17 de junho?
34°C 43%
35°C 32%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
43%
35°C
32%
36°C
14%
37°C
6%
38°C
4%
39°C ou mais
2%
34°C 43%
35°C 32%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
43%
35°C
32%
36°C
14%
37°C
6%
38°C
4%
39°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 17, driven by climatological norms for mid-June when average daily maxima reach 34–35°C under the influence of the pre-monsoon regime. Persistent high humidity from the Arabian Sea and typical west-southwest winds limit extreme daytime heating, while recent subsidence of a regional heat wave and emerging signals of late-month moisture have tempered expectations for 36°C or higher. Global and Pakistan Meteorological Department model runs continue to show stable thermal profiles through the short-range window, with resolution hinging on any last-minute convective cooling or clear-sky reinforcement. Updated PMD guidance and 48-hour ensemble forecasts over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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