**Trader sentiment for the June 18 highest temperature in Tel Aviv reflects tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around 29–30 °C.** Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service currently indicates a 28 °C maximum under sunny conditions and a northwest sea breeze, while global models (GFS/ECMWF ensembles) show a narrow spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise onset of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which typically caps coastal heating. Mid-June climatology places the long-term average near 29 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 28–32 °C amid stable subtropical ridging and minimal cloud cover. The near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts captures residual model uncertainty two days out; fresh afternoon model runs or updated IMS briefings on wind timing could readily shift probabilities within this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
30°C 45%
29°C 42%
31°C 8%
28°C 3.5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
42%
30°C
45%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 45%
29°C 42%
31°C 8%
28°C 3.5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
26°C ou menos
$676 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$265 Vol.
2%
28°C
$251 Vol.
4%
29°C
$827 Vol.
42%
30°C
$14 Vol.
45%
31°C
$229 Vol.
8%
32°C
$373 Vol.
2%
33°C
$50 Vol.
1%
34°C
$5,105 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$913 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$471 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the June 18 highest temperature in Tel Aviv reflects tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around 29–30 °C.** Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service currently indicates a 28 °C maximum under sunny conditions and a northwest sea breeze, while global models (GFS/ECMWF ensembles) show a narrow spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise onset of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which typically caps coastal heating. Mid-June climatology places the long-term average near 29 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 28–32 °C amid stable subtropical ridging and minimal cloud cover. The near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts captures residual model uncertainty two days out; fresh afternoon model runs or updated IMS briefings on wind timing could readily shift probabilities within this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$8,820Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the June 18 highest temperature in Tel Aviv reflects tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around 29–30 °C.** Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service currently indicates a 28 °C maximum under sunny conditions and a northwest sea breeze, while global models (GFS/ECMWF ensembles) show a narrow spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise onset of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which typically caps coastal heating. Mid-June climatology places the long-term average near 29 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 28–32 °C amid stable subtropical ridging and minimal cloud cover. The near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts captures residual model uncertainty two days out; fresh afternoon model runs or updated IMS briefings on wind timing could readily shift probabilities within this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,820Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the June 18 highest temperature in Tel Aviv reflects tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around 29–30 °C.** Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service currently indicates a 28 °C maximum under sunny conditions and a northwest sea breeze, while global models (GFS/ECMWF ensembles) show a narrow spread driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise onset of the Mediterranean sea breeze, which typically caps coastal heating. Mid-June climatology places the long-term average near 29 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 28–32 °C amid stable subtropical ridging and minimal cloud cover. The near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C contracts captures residual model uncertainty two days out; fresh afternoon model runs or updated IMS briefings on wind timing could readily shift probabilities within this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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