Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 16. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the Mediterranean, is expected to moderate afternoon peaks and limit advection of hotter continental air. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing accounting for the tight clustering around the 29–31°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 27–30°C, providing context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes above 32°C absent a shift in steering flow. Updated short-range guidance on June 15 will refine these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
30°C 38%
29°C 30%
31°C 14%
32°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
30%
30°C
38%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 38%
29°C 30%
31°C 14%
32°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
30%
30°C
38%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 16. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the Mediterranean, is expected to moderate afternoon peaks and limit advection of hotter continental air. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing accounting for the tight clustering around the 29–31°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 27–30°C, providing context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes above 32°C absent a shift in steering flow. Updated short-range guidance on June 15 will refine these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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