**Forecast models for Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, converge on a maximum near 28–29 °C, producing the tight 42–48.5 % split between those two bins.** June climatology places average highs in the 28–30 °C range under typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions, with the moderating influence of the sea breeze and light westerly flow preventing significant excursions. Recent runs show only minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could tip the peak by 1 °C; stronger onshore flow would favor 28 °C while slightly drier or calmer conditions would allow 29 °C. No heatwave or anomalous synoptic setup is indicated, keeping probabilities for 30 °C or higher below 6 %. Updated National Meteorological Service or ECMWF guidance expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow margin before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
29°C 49%
28°C 40%
30°C 5.5%
27°C 3.6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
40%
29°C
49%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 40%
30°C 5.5%
27°C 3.6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
40%
29°C
49%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, converge on a maximum near 28–29 °C, producing the tight 42–48.5 % split between those two bins.** June climatology places average highs in the 28–30 °C range under typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions, with the moderating influence of the sea breeze and light westerly flow preventing significant excursions. Recent runs show only minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could tip the peak by 1 °C; stronger onshore flow would favor 28 °C while slightly drier or calmer conditions would allow 29 °C. No heatwave or anomalous synoptic setup is indicated, keeping probabilities for 30 °C or higher below 6 %. Updated National Meteorological Service or ECMWF guidance expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow margin before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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