Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors keeping Lucknow’s maximum temperature on August 3 clustered around 32–33 °C, the two outcomes carrying the highest market-implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the active Indian summer monsoon raises humidity, limits solar heating, and promotes convective rainfall that further caps daytime peaks. Historical August averages for the city fall between 31–33 °C, and current model guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of local storms. Small shifts in forecast cloud fraction or rainfall onset can easily move the realized high between 31 °C and 34 °C, which explains why those four bins together account for over 80 % of trader positioning while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability tails. Updated short-range model runs from the India Meteorological Department will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 3 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 3 de agosto?
33°C 35%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
3 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
33%
33°C
35%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 35%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
3 ago 2026
26°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$115 Vol.
1%
28°C
$18 Vol.
1%
29°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$13 Vol.
5%
31°C
$2 Vol.
14%
32°C
$30 Vol.
33%
33°C
$34 Vol.
35%
34°C
$29 Vol.
18%
35°C
$5 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$17 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors keeping Lucknow’s maximum temperature on August 3 clustered around 32–33 °C, the two outcomes carrying the highest market-implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the active Indian summer monsoon raises humidity, limits solar heating, and promotes convective rainfall that further caps daytime peaks. Historical August averages for the city fall between 31–33 °C, and current model guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of local storms. Small shifts in forecast cloud fraction or rainfall onset can easily move the realized high between 31 °C and 34 °C, which explains why those four bins together account for over 80 % of trader positioning while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability tails. Updated short-range model runs from the India Meteorological Department will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$597Data de Término
3 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors keeping Lucknow’s maximum temperature on August 3 clustered around 32–33 °C, the two outcomes carrying the highest market-implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the active Indian summer monsoon raises humidity, limits solar heating, and promotes convective rainfall that further caps daytime peaks. Historical August averages for the city fall between 31–33 °C, and current model guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of local storms. Small shifts in forecast cloud fraction or rainfall onset can easily move the realized high between 31 °C and 34 °C, which explains why those four bins together account for over 80 % of trader positioning while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability tails. Updated short-range model runs from the India Meteorological Department will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$597Data de Término
3 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors keeping Lucknow’s maximum temperature on August 3 clustered around 32–33 °C, the two outcomes carrying the highest market-implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the active Indian summer monsoon raises humidity, limits solar heating, and promotes convective rainfall that further caps daytime peaks. Historical August averages for the city fall between 31–33 °C, and current model guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of local storms. Small shifts in forecast cloud fraction or rainfall onset can easily move the realized high between 31 °C and 34 °C, which explains why those four bins together account for over 80 % of trader positioning while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability tails. Updated short-range model runs from the India Meteorological Department will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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