Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate above-normal temperatures across southern England through early August, driven by building high pressure that favors clearer skies and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports trader consensus around an 18°C minimum on August 3, with 19°C as a close second, as ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress lows further. Historical August baselines place typical London minima near 14–15°C, but current warm anomalies and light winds elevate the near-term outlook. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in pressure patterns or Atlantic fronts, with updated model runs expected daily ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 3 de agosto?
18°C 52%
19°C 28%
17°C 19%
20°C 15%
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
11%
17°C
19%
18°C
52%
19°C
28%
20°C
15%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
1%
18°C 52%
19°C 28%
17°C 19%
20°C 15%
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
11%
17°C
19%
18°C
52%
19°C
28%
20°C
15%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate above-normal temperatures across southern England through early August, driven by building high pressure that favors clearer skies and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports trader consensus around an 18°C minimum on August 3, with 19°C as a close second, as ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress lows further. Historical August baselines place typical London minima near 14–15°C, but current warm anomalies and light winds elevate the near-term outlook. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in pressure patterns or Atlantic fronts, with updated model runs expected daily ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions