Trader consensus favors a daily maximum near 33°C in Karachi on August 3, with 32–34°C capturing over 87% of implied probability, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Sindh, as projected in the Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July–September 2026 outlook, support this range, while coastal humidity and potential convective cloud cover or light rain moderate extremes. Recent impact-based forecasts for lower Sindh highlight a 30–50 mm rainfall risk through early August, which could suppress peak readings relative to drier heatwave analogs. Model consensus from agencies like AccuWeather aligns with 31–35°C highs, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C, though any delay in monsoon showers could shift probabilities toward 34–35°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi no dia 3 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Karachi no dia 3 de agosto?
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
3 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
5%
36°C ou mais
3%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
3 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
$291 Vol.
1%
27°C
$291 Vol.
1%
28°C
$51 Vol.
1%
29°C
$37 Vol.
1%
30°C
$16 Vol.
4%
31°C
$13 Vol.
7%
32°C
$208 Vol.
23%
33°C
$168 Vol.
38%
34°C
$222 Vol.
27%
35°C
$18 Vol.
5%
36°C ou mais
$30 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a daily maximum near 33°C in Karachi on August 3, with 32–34°C capturing over 87% of implied probability, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Sindh, as projected in the Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July–September 2026 outlook, support this range, while coastal humidity and potential convective cloud cover or light rain moderate extremes. Recent impact-based forecasts for lower Sindh highlight a 30–50 mm rainfall risk through early August, which could suppress peak readings relative to drier heatwave analogs. Model consensus from agencies like AccuWeather aligns with 31–35°C highs, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C, though any delay in monsoon showers could shift probabilities toward 34–35°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,345Data de Término
3 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a daily maximum near 33°C in Karachi on August 3, with 32–34°C capturing over 87% of implied probability, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Sindh, as projected in the Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July–September 2026 outlook, support this range, while coastal humidity and potential convective cloud cover or light rain moderate extremes. Recent impact-based forecasts for lower Sindh highlight a 30–50 mm rainfall risk through early August, which could suppress peak readings relative to drier heatwave analogs. Model consensus from agencies like AccuWeather aligns with 31–35°C highs, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C, though any delay in monsoon showers could shift probabilities toward 34–35°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,345Data de Término
3 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a daily maximum near 33°C in Karachi on August 3, with 32–34°C capturing over 87% of implied probability, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Sindh, as projected in the Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July–September 2026 outlook, support this range, while coastal humidity and potential convective cloud cover or light rain moderate extremes. Recent impact-based forecasts for lower Sindh highlight a 30–50 mm rainfall risk through early August, which could suppress peak readings relative to drier heatwave analogs. Model consensus from agencies like AccuWeather aligns with 31–35°C highs, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C, though any delay in monsoon showers could shift probabilities toward 34–35°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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