Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 13 de julho?
30°C 31%
31°C 19%
29°C 9%
32°C 9%
26°C ou menos
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
19%
32°C
9%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 19%
29°C 9%
32°C 9%
26°C ou menos
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
19%
32°C
9%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on July 13 project a daytime high near 29°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, which favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps peak temperatures. Typical July climatology shows Manila highs averaging 31°C, but persistent moisture and convective activity often suppress readings to the 29–30°C range unless easterly winds briefly clear skies and enhance afternoon heating. The tight market spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of thunderstorms and urban heat-island amplification, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C absent a sustained break in monsoon cloudiness. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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