Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies, including ilMeteo.it and GFS-based outlooks, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C in Milan on August 22, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds favoring daytime heating in the Po Valley. This positions 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with 28°C close behind at 29% due to minor variations in afternoon maximums across ensemble runs. The 26.5% chance for 30°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in peak solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of significant cooling advection or cloud cover. Historical late-August averages near 28°C provide context for the current consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 22 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 22 de agosto?
29°C 44%
28°C 28%
30°C or higher 26%
27°C 6%
NOVO
$16,791 Vol.
NOVO
$16,791 Vol.
22 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
28%
29°C
44%
30°C or higher
26%
29°C 44%
28°C 28%
30°C or higher 26%
27°C 6%
NOVO
$16,791 Vol.
NOVO
$16,791 Vol.
22 ago 2026
20°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$631 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,247 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,974 Vol.
6%
28°C
$2,716 Vol.
28%
29°C
$4,789 Vol.
44%
30°C or higher
$2,899 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies, including ilMeteo.it and GFS-based outlooks, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C in Milan on August 22, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds favoring daytime heating in the Po Valley. This positions 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with 28°C close behind at 29% due to minor variations in afternoon maximums across ensemble runs. The 26.5% chance for 30°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in peak solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of significant cooling advection or cloud cover. Historical late-August averages near 28°C provide context for the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$16,791Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies, including ilMeteo.it and GFS-based outlooks, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C in Milan on August 22, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds favoring daytime heating in the Po Valley. This positions 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with 28°C close behind at 29% due to minor variations in afternoon maximums across ensemble runs. The 26.5% chance for 30°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in peak solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of significant cooling advection or cloud cover. Historical late-August averages near 28°C provide context for the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,791Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies, including ilMeteo.it and GFS-based outlooks, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C in Milan on August 22, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds favoring daytime heating in the Po Valley. This positions 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with 28°C close behind at 29% due to minor variations in afternoon maximums across ensemble runs. The 26.5% chance for 30°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in peak solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of significant cooling advection or cloud cover. Historical late-August averages near 28°C provide context for the current consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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