**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C. Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 29 de junho?
33°C 37%
34°C 37%
32°C 19%
35°C 8%
$10,027 Vol.
$10,027 Vol.
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
19%
33°C
37%
34°C
37%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 37%
34°C 37%
32°C 19%
35°C 8%
$10,027 Vol.
$10,027 Vol.
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
19%
33°C
37%
34°C
37%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 27, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the June 29 highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, centers on short-range ensemble guidance showing a most likely peak near 33–34 °C amid early wet-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, variable trade-wind strength, and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 33 °C and 34 °C. Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.0 °C, tilt the seasonal pattern toward above-average warmth and reduced rainfall relative to the 29–31 °C June climatology, elevating the chance of peaks in the upper range. Model differences on convection timing and boundary-layer mixing can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2 °C, explaining the close split in market-implied odds. Official observations, likely from Tocumen International Airport, will resolve the market, with any final forecast adjustments able to shift probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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