Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 4?
19°C 45%
20°C 22%
18°C 21%
17°C 7.5%
NOVO
$12,679 Vol.
NOVO
$12,679 Vol.
4 jul 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
21%
19°C
45%
20°C
22%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 45%
20°C 22%
18°C 21%
17°C 7.5%
NOVO
$12,679 Vol.
NOVO
$12,679 Vol.
4 jul 2026
13°C or below
$2,004 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$442 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$403 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$978 Vol.
1%
17°C
$454 Vol.
7%
18°C
$1,277 Vol.
21%
19°C
$3,116 Vol.
45%
20°C
$900 Vol.
22%
21°C
$1,125 Vol.
5%
22°C
$746 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$1,250 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$12,679Data de Término
4 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,679Data de Término
4 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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