Recent official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models like ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies over Tel Aviv, supporting daytime maxima near 32–33°C on August 12, 2026. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 34°C and 35°C because coastal sea-breeze timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing can easily add 1–2°C to peak readings. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 30–31°C, yet recent model runs exhibit a slight warm bias under similar synoptic patterns. The tight 46–44% split reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of the final 24-hour observational window, with resolution depending on the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 12 de agosto?
34°C 46%
35°C 44%
33°C 8%
36°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
32°C ou menos
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
46%
35°C
44%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C ou mais
<1%
34°C 46%
35°C 44%
33°C 8%
36°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
32°C ou menos
$408 Vol.
1%
33°C
$712 Vol.
8%
34°C
$611 Vol.
46%
35°C
$766 Vol.
44%
36°C
$160 Vol.
5%
37°C
$61 Vol.
2%
38°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
42°C ou mais
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models like ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies over Tel Aviv, supporting daytime maxima near 32–33°C on August 12, 2026. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 34°C and 35°C because coastal sea-breeze timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing can easily add 1–2°C to peak readings. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 30–31°C, yet recent model runs exhibit a slight warm bias under similar synoptic patterns. The tight 46–44% split reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of the final 24-hour observational window, with resolution depending on the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,487Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models like ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies over Tel Aviv, supporting daytime maxima near 32–33°C on August 12, 2026. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 34°C and 35°C because coastal sea-breeze timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing can easily add 1–2°C to peak readings. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 30–31°C, yet recent model runs exhibit a slight warm bias under similar synoptic patterns. The tight 46–44% split reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of the final 24-hour observational window, with resolution depending on the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,487Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble models like ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies over Tel Aviv, supporting daytime maxima near 32–33°C on August 12, 2026. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 34°C and 35°C because coastal sea-breeze timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing can easily add 1–2°C to peak readings. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 30–31°C, yet recent model runs exhibit a slight warm bias under similar synoptic patterns. The tight 46–44% split reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of the final 24-hour observational window, with resolution depending on the precise maximum recorded at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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