Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models point to seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions for Tel Aviv on August 11, with abundant sunshine, light winds, and highs near 32–34°C after earlier heatwave moderation. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typically cap peaks below inland values, aligning with August climatology of ~32°C averages. Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C (combined ~78.5% implied probability) likely reflects model spreads, potential urban heat-island amplification at official stations, or slight warming trends in latest runs, while lower outcomes remain discounted due to stable high-pressure patterns. Updated model guidance and official IMS briefings in the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 11 de agosto?
35°C 47%
36°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C 8%
31°C ou menos
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
47%
36°C
32%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C ou mais
<1%
35°C 47%
36°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C 8%
31°C ou menos
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
47%
36°C
32%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models point to seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions for Tel Aviv on August 11, with abundant sunshine, light winds, and highs near 32–34°C after earlier heatwave moderation. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typically cap peaks below inland values, aligning with August climatology of ~32°C averages. Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C (combined ~78.5% implied probability) likely reflects model spreads, potential urban heat-island amplification at official stations, or slight warming trends in latest runs, while lower outcomes remain discounted due to stable high-pressure patterns. Updated model guidance and official IMS briefings in the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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