Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 14 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 14 de julho?
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 8%
30°C 1.1%
NOVO
$14,242 Vol.
NOVO
$14,242 Vol.
14 jul 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
38%
32°C
55%
33°C
8%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 8%
30°C 1.1%
NOVO
$14,242 Vol.
NOVO
$14,242 Vol.
14 jul 2026
28°C or below
$412 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$477 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,927 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,797 Vol.
38%
32°C
$3,932 Vol.
55%
33°C
$1,886 Vol.
8%
34°C
$1,479 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$721 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$14,242Data de Término
14 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,242Data de Término
14 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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