Recent volume data shows Polymarket leading prediction-market social mindshare at 21.57% versus Kalshi’s 20.8% as of mid-August 2026, though its trading volume has halved since the FIFA World Cup peak that drove $4.15 billion in June activity. The post-tournament normalization, combined with Kalshi’s faster volume growth and platform expansions such as parlays and CFTC-certified crypto price contracts, is pressuring sustained attention share. Key near-term catalysts include the ongoing Sportradar data partnership expansion across 20+ leagues, V2 infrastructure migration effects, and uncertainty around the stalled $POLY token rollout. Traders are watching whether new product features and regulated U.S. offerings can offset competitive erosion before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuão alto será o mindshare do Polymarket até 31 de dezembro?
$21,745 Vol.
90%
8%
85%
15%
80%
57%
75%
78%
$21,745 Vol.
90%
8%
85%
15%
80%
57%
75%
78%
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent volume data shows Polymarket leading prediction-market social mindshare at 21.57% versus Kalshi’s 20.8% as of mid-August 2026, though its trading volume has halved since the FIFA World Cup peak that drove $4.15 billion in June activity. The post-tournament normalization, combined with Kalshi’s faster volume growth and platform expansions such as parlays and CFTC-certified crypto price contracts, is pressuring sustained attention share. Key near-term catalysts include the ongoing Sportradar data partnership expansion across 20+ leagues, V2 infrastructure migration effects, and uncertainty around the stalled $POLY token rollout. Traders are watching whether new product features and regulated U.S. offerings can offset competitive erosion before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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