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Economia·NFP

Quantos empregos foram adicionados em junho?

icon for Quantos empregos foram adicionados em junho?
Economia·NFP

Quantos empregos foram adicionados em junho?

jul 3

jul 3

50 mil – 100 mil 43%

0 – 50 mil 43%

200 mil+ 40%

150 mil – 200 mil 39%

Polymarket
NOVO

50 mil – 100 mil 43%

0 – 50 mil 43%

200 mil+ 40%

150 mil – 200 mil 39%

Polymarket
NOVO

<0

$51 Vol.

11%

0 – 50 mil

$41 Vol.

43%

50 mil – 100 mil

$0 Vol.

43%

100 mil – 150 mil

$39 Vol.

37%

150 mil – 200 mil

$0 Vol.

39%

200 mil+

$0 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus estimates near 85,000—along with upward revisions to prior months and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate have supported trader views of labor-market resilience heading into June. At the same time, forecasts for the June print range from roughly 70,000 to 137,000, reflecting expectations of gradual cooling amid elevated inflation readings above 4% and a Federal Reserve on hold at 3.75%. This balance of momentum from the latest data release versus seasonal summer softening and broader macro headwinds keeps the 0–50k, 150–200k, and adjacent bins tightly clustered, with outcomes hinging on whether incoming indicators such as jobless claims or ADP figures signal continued strength or a sharper slowdown before the July 2 release.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$130
Data de Término
3 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus estimates near 85,000—along with upward revisions to prior months and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate have supported trader views of labor-market resilience heading into June. At the same time, forecasts for the June print range from roughly 70,000 to 137,000, reflecting expectations of gradual cooling amid elevated inflation readings above 4% and a Federal Reserve on hold at 3.75%. This balance of momentum from the latest data release versus seasonal summer softening and broader macro headwinds keeps the 0–50k, 150–200k, and adjacent bins tightly clustered, with outcomes hinging on whether incoming indicators such as jobless claims or ADP figures signal continued strength or a sharper slowdown before the July 2 release.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$130
Data de Término
3 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos empregos foram adicionados em junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0 – 50 mil" at 43%, followed by "50 mil – 100 mil" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quantos empregos foram adicionados em junho?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quantos empregos foram adicionados em junho?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos empregos foram adicionados em junho?" is "0 – 50 mil" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50 mil – 100 mil" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos empregos foram adicionados em junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.