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icon for Imran Khan foi libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Imran Khan foi libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

icon for Imran Khan foi libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Imran Khan foi libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Imran Khan remains imprisoned in Pakistan’s Adiala Jail under multiple convictions, primarily a 14-year sentence in the Al-Qadir Trust corruption case and an additional term from the Toshakhana matter, both under appeal before the Islamabad High Court.** Appeals have proceeded slowly, with sentence-suspension requests rejected as recently as May 2026 and hearings still ongoing without expedited resolution. The government maintains that any relief must come strictly through the judicial process rather than political negotiations, while the military establishment and ruling coalition view Khan as a significant political challenger whose release could revive his popular support ahead of future elections. Recent developments reinforce this outlook. Court-ordered medical examinations in August 2026 resulted in his prompt return to prison after doctors found no condition requiring extended hospitalization. A September 2026 Islamabad High Court ruling addressed prison conditions by directing an end to prolonged solitary confinement and improved family access, but these measures do not affect the underlying convictions or sentences. PTI plans a major protest march on September 27 demanding his release, yet authorities have responded with detentions of party figures and family members, signaling continued resistance. International commentary, including recent statements from Boris Johnson, has highlighted health and due-process concerns, but these have not altered domestic legal or political dynamics. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31, 2026 deadline, the combination of unresolved appeals, institutional incentives to maintain the status quo, and absence of any fast-track acquittal or deal supports traders’ strong expectation that release will not occur.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,756
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Imran Khan remains imprisoned in Pakistan’s Adiala Jail under multiple convictions, primarily a 14-year sentence in the Al-Qadir Trust corruption case and an additional term from the Toshakhana matter, both under appeal before the Islamabad High Court.** Appeals have proceeded slowly, with sentence-suspension requests rejected as recently as May 2026 and hearings still ongoing without expedited resolution. The government maintains that any relief must come strictly through the judicial process rather than political negotiations, while the military establishment and ruling coalition view Khan as a significant political challenger whose release could revive his popular support ahead of future elections. Recent developments reinforce this outlook. Court-ordered medical examinations in August 2026 resulted in his prompt return to prison after doctors found no condition requiring extended hospitalization. A September 2026 Islamabad High Court ruling addressed prison conditions by directing an end to prolonged solitary confinement and improved family access, but these measures do not affect the underlying convictions or sentences. PTI plans a major protest march on September 27 demanding his release, yet authorities have responded with detentions of party figures and family members, signaling continued resistance. International commentary, including recent statements from Boris Johnson, has highlighted health and due-process concerns, but these have not altered domestic legal or political dynamics. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31, 2026 deadline, the combination of unresolved appeals, institutional incentives to maintain the status quo, and absence of any fast-track acquittal or deal supports traders’ strong expectation that release will not occur.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,756
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Imran Khan foi libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Imran Khan será libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Imran Khan foi libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Imran Khan foi libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Imran Khan foi libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is "Imran Khan será libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Imran Khan foi libertado da prisão até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.