Persistent heatwave conditions across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for an overnight low near 82–84°F under high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that restricts radiational cooling, have driven overwhelming market-implied odds of 93% on an 84–85°F low for Dallas on August 21. This positioning aligns with model consensus and historical patterns during similar late-summer heat events, where minimum temperatures remain elevated due to high dew points and warm advection. A realistic challenge would require unexpected boundary-layer mixing or measurement variance at the official station that drops the recorded low below 82°F, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 21 de agosto?
84-85°F 93%
82-83°F 17%
80-81°F 8%
78-79°F <1%
$3,132 Vol.
$3,132 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
93%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 93%
82-83°F 17%
80-81°F 8%
78-79°F <1%
$3,132 Vol.
$3,132 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
93%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for an overnight low near 82–84°F under high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that restricts radiational cooling, have driven overwhelming market-implied odds of 93% on an 84–85°F low for Dallas on August 21. This positioning aligns with model consensus and historical patterns during similar late-summer heat events, where minimum temperatures remain elevated due to high dew points and warm advection. A realistic challenge would require unexpected boundary-layer mixing or measurement variance at the official station that drops the recorded low below 82°F, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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