**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 21 around 17–19°C under high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies, producing balanced market odds between a 20°C-or-higher low (44.5%) and 10°C-or-below (44.0%), while concentrating probability on mid-teens values.** Seasonal radiative cooling overnight, modulated by dew points near 16–18°C and the urban heat island effect, limits further drops despite the approaching equinox. Light northerly flow prevents cold-air advection, keeping conditions close to recent mild norms rather than historical September extremes. Traders weigh small model differences in cloud cover and exact minimum timing, which could shift the recorded low by a few degrees and explain the tight clustering around 16–18°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão a 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Milão a 21 de setembro?
10°C ou menos 94%
20°C ou mais 92%
18°C 39%
14°C 38%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
10°C ou menos
94%
11°C
13%
12°C
13%
13°C
16%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
29%
17°C
22%
18°C
39%
19°C
38%
20°C ou mais
92%
10°C ou menos 94%
20°C ou mais 92%
18°C 39%
14°C 38%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
10°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
94%
11°C
$0 Vol.
13%
12°C
$0 Vol.
13%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 21 around 17–19°C under high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies, producing balanced market odds between a 20°C-or-higher low (44.5%) and 10°C-or-below (44.0%), while concentrating probability on mid-teens values.**
Seasonal radiative cooling overnight, modulated by dew points near 16–18°C and the urban heat island effect, limits further drops despite the approaching equinox. Light northerly flow prevents cold-air advection, keeping conditions close to recent mild norms rather than historical September extremes. Traders weigh small model differences in cloud cover and exact minimum timing, which could shift the recorded low by a few degrees and explain the tight clustering around 16–18°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 21 around 17–19°C under high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies, producing balanced market odds between a 20°C-or-higher low (44.5%) and 10°C-or-below (44.0%), while concentrating probability on mid-teens values.**
Seasonal radiative cooling overnight, modulated by dew points near 16–18°C and the urban heat island effect, limits further drops despite the approaching equinox. Light northerly flow prevents cold-air advection, keeping conditions close to recent mild norms rather than historical September extremes. Traders weigh small model differences in cloud cover and exact minimum timing, which could shift the recorded low by a few degrees and explain the tight clustering around 16–18°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 21 around 17–19°C under high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies, producing balanced market odds between a 20°C-or-higher low (44.5%) and 10°C-or-below (44.0%), while concentrating probability on mid-teens values.** Seasonal radiative cooling overnight, modulated by dew points near 16–18°C and the urban heat island effect, limits further drops despite the approaching equinox. Light northerly flow prevents cold-air advection, keeping conditions close to recent mild norms rather than historical September extremes. Traders weigh small model differences in cloud cover and exact minimum timing, which could shift the recorded low by a few degrees and explain the tight clustering around 16–18°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions