Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a minimum temperature in New York City on June 11 in the low-to-mid 70s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 70–75 °F. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow is expected to limit overnight temperature drops, while elevated dew points from upstream moisture transport reduce the potential for sharper declines. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting stable large-scale patterns with limited influence from passing shortwave troughs. Historical June climatology shows typical lows near 63 °F, so the current forecast represents notably above-average conditions that traders are weighing against possible model adjustments in the final 24 hours before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 11 de junho?
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
76-77°F 16%
63°F ou menos
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
1%
82°F ou mais
1%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
76-77°F 16%
63°F ou menos
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
1%
82°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:31 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a minimum temperature in New York City on June 11 in the low-to-mid 70s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 70–75 °F. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow is expected to limit overnight temperature drops, while elevated dew points from upstream moisture transport reduce the potential for sharper declines. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting stable large-scale patterns with limited influence from passing shortwave troughs. Historical June climatology shows typical lows near 63 °F, so the current forecast represents notably above-average conditions that traders are weighing against possible model adjustments in the final 24 hours before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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