Forecasts for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate scattered thunderstorms and rain from lingering monsoon moisture and weak low-level convergence, with official guidance pointing to a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce radiational cooling overnight, while variable southeasterly flow and high humidity limit daytime heating and keep the diurnal range modest. Model spreads in timing and intensity of convection create genuine uncertainty around the precise low, supporting closely matched market-implied odds near 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher. Historical September minima average around 24–25°C, but fresh data releases from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and rainfall totals will likely refine trader assessments ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 21 de setembro?
32°C ou mais 98%
22°C ou menos 97%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
22°C ou menos
97%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
27%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
15%
32°C ou mais
98%
32°C ou mais 98%
22°C ou menos 97%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
22°C ou menos
97%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
27%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
15%
32°C ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Shenzhen on September 21 indicate scattered thunderstorms and rain from lingering monsoon moisture and weak low-level convergence, with official guidance pointing to a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce radiational cooling overnight, while variable southeasterly flow and high humidity limit daytime heating and keep the diurnal range modest. Model spreads in timing and intensity of convection create genuine uncertainty around the precise low, supporting closely matched market-implied odds near 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher. Historical September minima average around 24–25°C, but fresh data releases from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and rainfall totals will likely refine trader assessments ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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