Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum of 22–23°C in Wuhan on September 20, driven by persistent high humidity near 70–90%, extensive cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Subtropical conditions with dew points around 21–23°C further moderate the overnight drop, preventing sharper declines. Recent stability in regional pressure patterns has kept temperatures aligned with late-summer baselines rather than early-autumn cooling. The near-even market split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor divergences in model runs and local observational thresholds, with updated guidance expected from official meteorological services as the day concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 20 de setembro?
19°C 4%
20°C 1%
18°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
46%
22°C
48%
23°C
53%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 4%
20°C 1%
18°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
46%
22°C
48%
23°C
53%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a minimum of 22–23°C in Wuhan on September 20, driven by persistent high humidity near 70–90%, extensive cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Subtropical conditions with dew points around 21–23°C further moderate the overnight drop, preventing sharper declines. Recent stability in regional pressure patterns has kept temperatures aligned with late-summer baselines rather than early-autumn cooling. The near-even market split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor divergences in model runs and local observational thresholds, with updated guidance expected from official meteorological services as the day concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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