Skip to main content
icon for MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor
Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor

icon for MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor
Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor

Aaron Judge 35.1%

Yordan Alvarez 20%

Gunnar Henderson 16%

Bobby Witt Jr. 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Aaron Judge 35.1%

Yordan Alvarez 20%

Gunnar Henderson 16%

Bobby Witt Jr. 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Aaron Judge

$687 Vol.

35%

Yordan Alvarez

$314 Vol.

20%

Gunnar Henderson

$194 Vol.

16%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$209 Vol.

8%

José Ramírez

$0 Vol.

8%

Nick Kurtz

$0 Vol.

7%

Julio Rodríguez

$0 Vol.

4%

Corey Seager

$0 Vol.

3%

Cal Raleigh

$3,482 Vol.

2%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads the early 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award market at 35.1% implied probability, driven by his AL-leading home run pace near 16 through mid-May and an OPS topping 1.018 that reflects elite barrel rates and on-base consistency for the Yankees. Yordan Alvarez sits second at 19.0% on the strength of his Astros power and run production despite a modest April cooldown. Gunnar Henderson, José Ramírez, and Bobby Witt Jr. occupy the next tier between 6.5% and 8.0%, buoyed by contact skills and projected power output. Nick Kurtz’s patient approach and Julio Rodríguez’s speed-power blend keep the field open at lower probabilities, while recent multi-homer surges and official injury reports continue to shape trader consensus around these frontrunners in a still-developing season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,887
Data de Término
13 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads the early 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award market at 35.1% implied probability, driven by his AL-leading home run pace near 16 through mid-May and an OPS topping 1.018 that reflects elite barrel rates and on-base consistency for the Yankees. Yordan Alvarez sits second at 19.0% on the strength of his Astros power and run production despite a modest April cooldown. Gunnar Henderson, José Ramírez, and Bobby Witt Jr. occupy the next tier between 6.5% and 8.0%, buoyed by contact skills and projected power output. Nick Kurtz’s patient approach and Julio Rodríguez’s speed-power blend keep the field open at lower probabilities, while recent multi-homer surges and official injury reports continue to shape trader consensus around these frontrunners in a still-developing season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,887
Data de Término
13 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 35%, followed by "Yordan Alvarez" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is "Aaron Judge" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yordan Alvarez" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.