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Desporto·Novato

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Desporto·Novato

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Munetaka Murakami 42%

Kevin McGonigle 38%

Chase DeLauter 11%

Kazuma Okamoto 4.5%

Polymarket

$17,256 Vol.

Munetaka Murakami 42%

Kevin McGonigle 38%

Chase DeLauter 11%

Kazuma Okamoto 4.5%

Polymarket

$17,256 Vol.

Munetaka Murakami

$6,943 Vol.

42%

Kevin McGonigle

$2,719 Vol.

38%

Chase DeLauter

$681 Vol.

11%

Kazuma Okamoto

$887 Vol.

5%

Travis Bazzana

$390 Vol.

2%

Leo De Vries

$266 Vol.

1%

Carlos Lagrange

$233 Vol.

1%

Spencer Jones

$259 Vol.

1%

Carter Jensen

$633 Vol.

1%

Samuel Basallo

$755 Vol.

1%

Brice Matthews

$216 Vol.

1%

Payton Tolle

$406 Vol.

1%

Walker Jenkins

$507 Vol.

1%

Trey Yesavage

$397 Vol.

1%

Connelly Early

$216 Vol.

1%

Carson Williams

$223 Vol.

1%

Max Clark

$263 Vol.

1%

Dylan Beavers

$650 Vol.

<1%

Colt Emerson

$240 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$374 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early-season performances from two standout AL Central rookies have kept the American League Rookie of the Year race tightly contested, with Munetaka Murakami and Kevin McGonigle emerging as the clear frontrunners. Murakami has posted elite power numbers for the White Sox, including double-digit home runs and a strong OPS that highlights his transition from NPB dominance. McGonigle, meanwhile, has delivered a polished all-around game for the Tigers, including consistent contact, speed, and defensive contributions that exceed preseason expectations. Chase DeLauter’s solid outfield production for the Guardians provides a distant third option, while the rest of the field trails significantly. This close positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in both players’ strong starts, comparable playing time, and limited head-to-head separation through the first six weeks.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,256
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early-season performances from two standout AL Central rookies have kept the American League Rookie of the Year race tightly contested, with Munetaka Murakami and Kevin McGonigle emerging as the clear frontrunners. Murakami has posted elite power numbers for the White Sox, including double-digit home runs and a strong OPS that highlights his transition from NPB dominance. McGonigle, meanwhile, has delivered a polished all-around game for the Tigers, including consistent contact, speed, and defensive contributions that exceed preseason expectations. Chase DeLauter’s solid outfield production for the Guardians provides a distant third option, while the rest of the field trails significantly. This close positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in both players’ strong starts, comparable playing time, and limited head-to-head separation through the first six weeks.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,256
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Munetaka Murakami" at 42%, followed by "Kevin McGonigle" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is "Munetaka Murakami" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin McGonigle" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.