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icon for Nova pandemia antes de 2028?

Nova pandemia antes de 2028?

icon for Nova pandemia antes de 2028?

Nova pandemia antes de 2028?

Sim

16% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

16% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 83.5% implied probability reflects the absence of any novel pathogen with sustained human-to-human transmission capable of triggering a pandemic by 2028.** Current global surveillance through WHO and CDC systems shows only localized, manageable outbreaks—such as the 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola event in the DRC and Uganda, declared a PHEIC yet contained regionally—alongside non-pandemic threats like Cyclospora and measles clusters. Post-COVID enhancements, including the 2025 WHO Pandemic Agreement and expanded genomic monitoring, have improved early detection of zoonotic spillovers from the roughly 25 viral families of concern. Historical intervals between pandemics vary widely without fixed schedules, and no model consensus or observational data currently signals rapid escalation within the remaining timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
1 jan 2028
Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 83.5% implied probability reflects the absence of any novel pathogen with sustained human-to-human transmission capable of triggering a pandemic by 2028.** Current global surveillance through WHO and CDC systems shows only localized, manageable outbreaks—such as the 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola event in the DRC and Uganda, declared a PHEIC yet contained regionally—alongside non-pandemic threats like Cyclospora and measles clusters. Post-COVID enhancements, including the 2025 WHO Pandemic Agreement and expanded genomic monitoring, have improved early detection of zoonotic spillovers from the roughly 25 viral families of concern. Historical intervals between pandemics vary widely without fixed schedules, and no model consensus or observational data currently signals rapid escalation within the remaining timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
1 jan 2028
Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nova pandemia antes de 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nova pandemia antes de 2028?" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nova pandemia antes de 2028?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nova pandemia antes de 2028?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nova pandemia antes de 2028?" is "Nova pandemia antes de 2028?" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nova pandemia antes de 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.