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Próximo ator de James Bond?

icon for Próximo ator de James Bond?

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Nenhum Bond escolhido 76%

Callum Turner 16.1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 6.3%

Jacob Elordi 4.1%

Polymarket

$2,184,211 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido 76%

Callum Turner 16.1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 6.3%

Jacob Elordi 4.1%

Polymarket

$2,184,211 Vol.

icon for Nenhum Bond escolhido

Nenhum Bond escolhido

$268,212 Vol.

76%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$144,604 Vol.

16%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$116,908 Vol.

6%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$260,395 Vol.

4%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$315,686 Vol.

1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$156,843 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$84,688 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$78,828 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$40,740 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$122,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$225,547 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$189,904 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$88,503 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$43,813 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$47,457 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's dominant 75.5% probability on no actor being chosen stems from Amazon MGM Studios' recent confirmation that the casting search for the next James Bond has only just begun, with auditions underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold and no frontrunner locked in. Production on the Denis Villeneuve-directed film is not expected until 2027 for a potential 2028 release, giving the process months to unfold amid a broad field of British and international talent. Callum Turner leads named contenders at 16.1% on the strength of sustained industry buzz and his recent profile boost, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Jacob Elordi sit further back amid shifting rumors. This setup mirrors prior Bond transitions that routinely drag on without quick resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,184,211
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's dominant 75.5% probability on no actor being chosen stems from Amazon MGM Studios' recent confirmation that the casting search for the next James Bond has only just begun, with auditions underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold and no frontrunner locked in. Production on the Denis Villeneuve-directed film is not expected until 2027 for a potential 2028 release, giving the process months to unfold amid a broad field of British and international talent. Callum Turner leads named contenders at 16.1% on the strength of sustained industry buzz and his recent profile boost, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Jacob Elordi sit further back amid shifting rumors. This setup mirrors prior Bond transitions that routinely drag on without quick resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,184,211
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo ator de James Bond?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 76%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo ator de James Bond?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo ator de James Bond?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.