Darializa Avila Chevalier’s narrow Democratic primary victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat in New York’s 13th district on June 23 produced a margin under five points, aligning with the 98.5% market price on that outcome. The result reflected a progressive surge backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and DSA support, which mobilized younger and college-educated voters in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx even as Espaillat retained strength among lower-income and Hispanic blocs through his established organization. Official tallies showed Chevalier at roughly 48.6% to Espaillat’s 45.9%, confirming the tight finish. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification, potential recounts, or minor vote adjustments that could shift the exact margin without changing the winner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAvila Chevalier <5% 98.4%
Avila Chevalier 5–10% 1.6%
Avila Chevalier 10%+ 1.3%
Outro <1%
$89,667 Vol.
$89,667 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Avila Chevalier 10%+
1%
Avila Chevalier 5–10%
2%
Avila Chevalier <5%
98%
Outro
<1%
Avila Chevalier <5% 98.4%
Avila Chevalier 5–10% 1.6%
Avila Chevalier 10%+ 1.3%
Outro <1%
$89,667 Vol.
$89,667 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Avila Chevalier 10%+
$5,976 Vol.
1%
Avila Chevalier 5–10%
$7,521 Vol.
2%
Avila Chevalier <5%
$21,705 Vol.
98%
Outro
$2,194 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darializa Avila Chevalier’s narrow Democratic primary victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat in New York’s 13th district on June 23 produced a margin under five points, aligning with the 98.5% market price on that outcome. The result reflected a progressive surge backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and DSA support, which mobilized younger and college-educated voters in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx even as Espaillat retained strength among lower-income and Hispanic blocs through his established organization. Official tallies showed Chevalier at roughly 48.6% to Espaillat’s 45.9%, confirming the tight finish. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification, potential recounts, or minor vote adjustments that could shift the exact margin without changing the winner.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ET
Volume
$89,667Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darializa Avila Chevalier’s narrow Democratic primary victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat in New York’s 13th district on June 23 produced a margin under five points, aligning with the 98.5% market price on that outcome. The result reflected a progressive surge backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and DSA support, which mobilized younger and college-educated voters in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx even as Espaillat retained strength among lower-income and Hispanic blocs through his established organization. Official tallies showed Chevalier at roughly 48.6% to Espaillat’s 45.9%, confirming the tight finish. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification, potential recounts, or minor vote adjustments that could shift the exact margin without changing the winner.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$89,667Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Darializa Avila Chevalier’s narrow Democratic primary victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat in New York’s 13th district on June 23 produced a margin under five points, aligning with the 98.5% market price on that outcome. The result reflected a progressive surge backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and DSA support, which mobilized younger and college-educated voters in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx even as Espaillat retained strength among lower-income and Hispanic blocs through his established organization. Official tallies showed Chevalier at roughly 48.6% to Espaillat’s 45.9%, confirming the tight finish. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification, potential recounts, or minor vote adjustments that could shift the exact margin without changing the winner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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